Project
InfluCast
Website
influcast.org/en/
Info
Subjects
Partners
Queen Mary University of London, INSERM, Fondazione Bruno Kessler, Politecnico di Torino
People
Vespignani Alessandro, Gozzi Nicolò, Paolotti Daniela, Gioannini Corrado, Rossi Luca, Milano Paolo, Vismara Ivan, Fiandrino Stefania
Influcast is the first Italian hub for epidemiological forecasts that aggregates estimates produced by different research teams about the future trends of influenza-like illnesses at both national and regional levels.
The project is coordinated and maintained by the ISI Foundation in Turin.
Influcast forecasts the evolution of influenza-like-illnesses by aggregating predictions from multiple models
Related publications
A statistical modelling approach for determining the cause of reported respiratory syndromes from internet-based participatory surveillance when influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 are co-circulating
Scott A. McDonald, Albert Jan van Hoek, Daniela Paolotti, Mariette Hooiveld, Adam Meijer, Marit de Lange, , Arianne van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Jacco Wallinga
PLOS Digital Health3(12), e0000655 (2024)
Real-time estimates of the emergence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: A modeling approach
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra
Epidemics 100805 (2024)
Modeling the interplay between disease spread, behaviors, and disease perception with a data-driven approach
Alessandro De Gaetano, Alain Barrat, Daniela Paolotti
Mathematical Biosciences378, 109337 (2024)
Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localized interventions in Chile
Bernardo Gutierrez, Joseph L -H Tsui, Giulia Pullano, Mattia Mazzoli, Karthik Gangavarapu, Rhys P D Inward, Sumali Bajaj, Rosario Evans Pena, Simon Busch-Moreno, Marc A Suchard, Oliver G. Pybus, Alejandra Dunner, Rodrigo Puentes, Salvador Ayala, Jorge Fernandez, Rafael Araos, Leonardo Adrian Ferres, Vittoria Colizza, Moritz U. G. Kraemer
PNAS Nexus3, 11, pgae483 (2024)
Generalized contact matrices allow integrating socioeconomic variables into epidemic models
Adriana Manna, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Michele Tizzoni, Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra
Science Advances10, 41, (2024)
Social interactions of dairy cows and their association with milk yield and somatic cell count
Helen R. Fielding, Matthew J. Silk, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Richard J. Delahay, Jared K. Wilson-Aggarwal, Laetitia Gauvin, Laura Ozella, Ciro Cattuto, Robbie A. McDonald
Applied Animal Behaviour Science279, 106385 (2024)
Integrated environmental and clinical surveillance for the prevention of acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in indoor environments and vulnerable communities (Stell-ARI): Protocol
Annalaura Carducci, Guglielmo Arzilli, Nebiyu Tariku Atomsa, Giulia Lauretani, Marco Verani, Francesco Pistelli, Lara Tavoschi, Ileana Federigi, Marco Fornili, Davide Petri, Tommaso Lomonaco, Claudia Meschi, Alessandra Pagani, Antonello Agostini, Laura Carrozzi, Laura Baglietto, Daniela Paolotti, Ciro Cattuto, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Caterina Rizzo
PLoS ONE19(9), e0309111 (2024)
A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US
Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Kunpeng Mu, Nicolò Gozzi, Marco Ajelli, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
Epidemics47, 100757 (2024)
Research ethics and artificial intelligence for global health: perspectives from the global forum on bioethics in research
James Shaw, Joseph Ali, Caesar A. Atuire, Phaik Yeong Cheah, Armando Guio Español, Judy Wawira Gichoya, Adrienne Hunt, Daudi Jjingo, Katherine Littler, Daniela Paolotti, Effy Vayena
BMC Medical Ethics25, 46 (2024)
Political context of the European vaccine debate on Twitter
Giordano Paoletti, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Jacopo Lenti, Yelena Mejova, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Starnini, Michele Tizzani
Scientific Reports 14, 4397 (2024)
Characterizing collective physical distancing in the U.S. during the first nine months of the COVID-19 pandemic
Brennan Klein, Timothy LaRock, Stefan McCabe, Leo Torres, Lisa Friedland, Maciej Kos, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, John S. Brownstein, Richard Gonzalez, David Lazer, Tina Eliassi-Rad, Samuel V. Scarpino, Alessandro Vespignani, Matteo Chinazzi
PLoS Digital Health3(2), e0000430 (2025)
Gender in the disclosure of loneliness on Twitter during COVID-19 lockdowns
Yelena Mejova, Anya Hommadova Lu
Frontiers in Digital Health5, 297983 (2023)
Reflections On Epidemiological Modeling To Inform Policy During The COVID-19 Pandemic In Western Europe, 2020–23
Mark Jit, Kylie Ainslie, Christian Althaus, Constantino Caetano, Vittoria Colizza, Daniela Paolotti, Philippe Beutels, Lander Willem, John Edmunds, Baltazar Nunes, Sònia Namorado, Christel Faes, Nicola Low, Jacco Wallinga, Niel Hens
Health Affairs42, 12, (2023)
Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online Survey
Alessandro De Gaetano, Paolo Bajardi, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra, Daniela Perrotta, Daniela Paolotti
Journal of Medical Internet Research (JMIR)25, e47563 (2023)
Impact of food-related conflicts on self-reported food insecurity
Stefania Fiandrino, Caitriona Dowd, Giulia Martini, Yelena Mejova, Elisa Omodei , Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzani
Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems7, 1239992 (2023)
The limits of human mobility traces to predict the spread of COVID-19: a transfer entropy approach
Federico Delussu, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin
PNAS Nexus2, 10, 1-13 (2023)
Enabling Multicentric Participatory Disease Surveillance for Global Health Enhancement: Viewpoint on Global Flu View
Onicio Leal Neto, Daniela Paolotti, Craig Dalton, Sandra Carlson, Patipat Susumpow, Matt Parker, Polowat Phetra, Eric H Y Lau, Vittoria Colizza, Albert Jan van Hoek, Charlotte Kjelsø, John S. Brownstein, Marc S Smolinski
JMIR Public Health Surveillance9, e46644 (2023)
Modeling self-propagating malware with epidemiological models
Alesia Chernikova, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra, Simona Boboila, Tina Eliassi-Rad, Alina Oprea
Applied Network Science8, 52 (2023)
Association of close-range contact patterns with SARS-CoV-2: a household transmission study
Jackie Kleynhans, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Laetitia Gauvin, Michele Tizzoni, Lucia Maloma, Sibongile Walaza, Neil A Martinson, Anne von Gottberg, Nicole Wolter, Mvuyo Makhasi, Cheryl Cohen, Ciro Cattuto, Stefano Tempia,
eLife12, e84753, 1-26 (2023)
Big Social Media Twitter Data for Studying Social Connection: Case Study of Loneliness
Proceedings: XX ISA World Congress of Sociology - Melbourne, Australia June 25-July 1, 2023498.1, (2023)
Echo Chambers of Vaccination Hesitancy Discussion on Social Media during COVID-19 Pandemic
Yelena Mejova, Giuseppe Crupi, Jacopo Lenti, Michele Tizzani, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Daniela Paolotti, André Panisson
Proceedings: XX ISA World Congress of Sociology - Melbourne, Australia June 25-July 1, 2023224.3, (2023)
Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling study
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
Nature Communications14, 3272 (2023)
The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El Salvador
Nicolò Gozzi, Niccolò Comini, Nicola Perra
EPJ Data Science12, 18 (2023)
The Pursuit of Peer Support for Opioid Use Recovery on Reddit
Duilio Balsamo, Paolo Bajardi, Gianmarco De Francisci Morales, Corrado Monti, Rossano Schifanella
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media17(1), 12-23 (2023)
Comfort Foods and Community Connectedness: Investigating Diet Change during COVID-19 Using YouTube Videos on Twitter
Yelena Mejova, Lydia Manikonda
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media17(1), 602-613 (2023)
Global Misinformation Spillovers in the Vaccination Debate Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Multilingual Twitter Study
Jacopo Lenti, Yelena Mejova, Kyriaki Kalimeri, André Panisson, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzani, Michele Starnini
JMIR Infodemiology3:e44714, (2023)
Impact of tiered measures on social contact and mixing patterns of in Italy during the second wave of COVID-19
Michele Tizzani, Alessandro De Gaetano, Christopher I. Jarvis, Amy Gimma, Kerry Wong, W. John Edmunds, Philippe Beutels, Niel Hens, Pietro Coletti, Daniela Paolotti
BMC Public Health23, 906 (2023)
Sustainable nutrition and the case of vegetable oils to match present and future dietary needs
Pier Mannuccio Mannucci, Olivier Jolliet, Erik Meijaard, Joanne Slavin, Mario Rasetti, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno, Carlo Agostoni
Frontiers in Public Health11, 1106083 (2023)
Participatory Surveillance for COVID-19 Trend Detection in Brazil: Cross-sectional Study
Salome Wittwer, Daniela Paolotti, Guilherme Lichand, Onicio Leal Neto
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance9, e44517 (2023)
Attitudes towards booster, testing and isolation, and their impact on COVID-19 response in winter 2022/2023 in France, Belgium, and Italy: a cross-sectional survey and modelling study
Giulia de Meijere, Eugenio Valdano, Claudio Castellano, Marion Debin, Charly Kengne-Kuetche, Clément Turbelin, Harold Noël, Joshua S. Weitz, Daniela Paolotti, Lisa Hermans, Niel Hens, Vittoria Colizza
The Lancet Regional Health - Europe28, 100614 (2023)
Simplicially driven simple contagion
Maxime Lucas, Iacopo Iacopini, Thomas Robiglio, Alain Barrat, Giovanni Petri
Physical Review Research5, 013201 (2023)
Evolutionarily conserved role of oxytocin in social fear contagion in zebrafish
Ibukun Akinrinade, Kyriacos Kareklas, Magda C. Teles, Thais K. Reis, Michael Gliksberg, Giovanni Petri, Gil Levkowitz, Rui F. Oliveira
Science379, 6638, 1232-1237 (2023)
Unraveling the COVID-19 hospitalization dynamics in Spain using publicly available data
Alberto Aleta, Juan Luis Blas-Laína, Gabriel Tirado Anglés, Yamir Moreno
BMC Medical Research Methodology23, 24 (2021)
Unraveling the COVID-19 hospitalization dynamics in Spain using Bayesian inference
Alberto Aleta, Juan Luis Blas-Laína, Gabriel Tirado Anglés, Yamir Moreno
BMC Medical Research Methodology23, 24 (2023)
Food composition databases in the era of Big Data: Vegetable oils as a case study
Henrique Ferraz De Arruda, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
Frontiers in Nutrition9, 1052934 (2023)
A dataset to assess mobility changes in Chile following local quarantines
Luca Pappalardo, Giuliano Cornacchia, Victor Navarro, Loreto Bravo, Leonardo Adrian Ferres
Scientific Data10, 6 (2023)
Psychotropic drug purchases during the COVID‑19 pandemic in Italy and their relationship with mobility restrictions
Francesca Marazzi, Andrea Piano Mortari, Federico Belotti, Giuseppe Carrà, Ciro Cattuto, Joanna Kopinska, Daniela Paolotti, Vincenzo Atella
Scientific Reports12, 19336 (2022)
I feel you: Mixed-methods study of social support of loneliness on twitter
Yelena Mejova, Anya Hommadova Lu
Computers in Human Behavior136, 107389 (2022)
Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
Jinming Wan, Genki Ichinose, Michael Small, Hiroki Sayama, Yamir Moreno, Changqing Cheng
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals164, 112735 (2022)
Digital Epidemiology
Handbook of Computational Social Science for Policy, SpringerChap. 15, 279–303 (2022)
Comparing Sources of Mobility for Modelling the Epidemic Spread of Zika Virus in Colombia
Daniela Perrotta, Enrique Frias-Martinez, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Qian Zhang, Miguel Luengo-Oroz, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Alessandro Vespignani
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases16(7), e0010565 (2022)
Modeling the impact of COVID-19 on future tuberculosis burden
Mario Tovar, Alberto Aleta, Joaquín Sanz, Yamir Moreno
Nature - communications medicine2(77), (2022)
Behavior Change Around an Online Health Awareness Campaign: A Causal Impact Study
Víctor Suarez-Lledó, Yelena Mejova
Frontiers in Public Health10, 857531 (2022)
All the lonely people: Effects of social isolation on self-disclosure of loneliness on Twitter
Anya Hommadova Lu, Yelena Mejova
New Media & Society (2022)
Quantifying the importance and location of SARS-CoV-2 transmission events in large metropolitan areas
Alberto Aleta, David Martín-Corral, Michiel A. Bakker, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Alex Pentland, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Esteban Moro
PNAS119(26), e2112182119 (2022)
Ensemble of opinion dynamics models to understand the role of the undecided about vaccines
Jacopo Lenti,
Journal of Complex Networks10(3), cnac018 (2022)
Assessing the Risk of Spatial Spreading of Diseases in Hospitals
Dan Lu, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
Frontiers in Physics10, 882314 (2022)
Impact of vaccine hesitancy on secondary COVID-19 outbreaks in the US: an age-structured SIR model
Alfonso De Miguel-Arribas, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
BMC Infectious Diseases22(511), (2022)
Echoes through Time: Evolution of the Italian COVID-19 Vaccination Debate
Giuseppe Crupi, Yelena Mejova, Michele Tizzani, Daniela Paolotti, André Panisson
Proceedings of the Sixteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media16(1), 102-113 (2022)
Evidence of pandemic fatigue associated with stricter tiered COVID-19 restrictions
Federico Delussu, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin
PLoS Digital Health1(5), e0000035 (2022)
Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
PLoS Computational Biology18(5), e1010146 (2021)
Addressing the socioeconomic divide in computational modeling for infectious diseases
Michele Tizzoni, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Laetitia Gauvin, Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra, Shweta Bansal
Nature Communication13, 2897 (2022)
Staying Strong, But For How Long? Mental Health During COVID-19 in Italy
Francesca Marazzi, Andrea Piano Mortari, Federico Belotti, Giuseppe Carrà, Ciro Cattuto, Joanna Kopinska, Daniela Paolotti, Vincenzo Atella
CEIS - Research Papers20(4), 541 (2022)
Epidemic spreading in populations of mobile agents with adaptive behavioral response
Paulo Cesar Ventura, Alberto Aleta, Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues, Yamir Moreno
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals156, 111849 (2022)
Googling for Abortion: Search Engine Mediation of Abortion Accessibility in the United States
Yelena Mejova, Tatiana Gracyk, Ronald E. Robertson
Journal of Quantitative Description: Digital Media2, 1-41 (2022)
Are People Optimistically Biased about the Risk of COVID-19 infection? Lessons from the first wave of the pandemic in Europe
Kathleen McColl, Marion Debin, Cecile Souty, Caroline Guerrisi, Clément Turbelin, Alessandra Falchi, Isabelle Bonmarin, Daniela Paolotti, Chinelo Obi, Jim Duggan, Yamir Moreno, Ania Wisniak, Antoine Flahault, Thierry Blanchon, Vittoria Colizza, Jocelyn Raude
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health19 (1), 436 (2021)
Integrating digital and field surveillance as complementary efforts to manage epidemic diseases of livestock: African swine fever as a case study
Michele Tizzani, Violeta Muñoz-Gómez, Marco De Nardi, Daniela Paolotti, Olga Muñoz, Piera Ceschi, Arvo Viltrop, Ilaria Capua
PLoS ONE16(12), e0252972 (2021)
Infodemics: A new challenge for public health
Sylvie C. Briand, Matteo Cinelli, Tim Nguyen, Rosamund Lewis, Dimitri Prybylski, Carlo M. Valensise, Vittoria Colizza, Alberto Eugenio Tozzi, Nicola Perra, Andrea Baronchelli, Michele Tizzoni, Fabiana Zollo, Antonio Scala, Tina Purnat, Christine Czerniak, Adam Kucharski, Akhona Tshangela, Lei Zhou, Walter Quattrociocchi
Cell184, 25, 6010-6014 (2021)
Impact of data accuracy on the evaluation of COVID-19 mitigation policies
Michele Starnini, Alberto Aleta, Michele Tizzoni, Yamir Moreno
Data & Policy3, e28 (2021)
Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave
Jessica T. Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Nicola Perra, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Natalie E. Dean, Corrado Gioannini, Maria Litvinova, Stefano Merler, Luca Rossi, Kaiyuan Sun, Xinyue Xiong, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani
Nature600, 127–132 (2021)
Interplay between mobility, multi-seeding and lockdowns shapes COVID-19 local impact
Mattia Mazzoli, Emanuele Pepe, David Mateo, Ciro Cattuto, Laetitia Gauvin, Paolo Bajardi, Michele Tizzoni, Alberto Hernando, Sandro Meloni, José J. Ramasco
PLoS Computational Biology17(10), e1009326 (2021)
The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rollout
Nicolò Gozzi, Paolo Bajardi, Nicola Perra
PLoS Computational Biology17(9), e1009346 (2021)
Socio-economic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods
Laetitia Gauvin, Paolo Bajardi, Emanuele Pepe, Brennan Lake, Filippo Privitera, Michele Tizzoni
Journal of the Royal Society Interface18, 20210092 (2021)
Early social distancing policies in Europe, changes in mobility & COVID-19 case trajectories: Insights from Spring 2020
Liana R. Woskie, Jonathan Hennessy, Valeria Espinosa, Thomas C. Tsai, Swapnil Vispute, Benjamin H. Jacobson, Ciro Cattuto, Laetitia Gauvin, Michele Tizzoni, Alex Fabrikant, Krishna Gadepalli, Adam Boulanger, Adam Pearce, Chaitanya Kamath, Arran Schlosberg, Charlotte Stanton, Shailesh Bavadekar, Matthew Abueg, Michael Hogue, Andrew Oplinger, Katherine Chou, Greg Corrado, Tomer Shekel, Ashish K. Jha, Gregory A. Wellenius, Evgeniy Gabrilovich
PLoS ONE16(6), e0253071 (2021)
YouTubing at Home: Media Sharing Behavior Change as Proxy for Mobility Around COVID-19 Lockdowns
Yelena Mejova, Nicolas Kourtellis
WebSci '21: 13th ACM Web Science Conference 2021 272–281 (2021)
Risk factors associated with the incidence of self-reported COVID-19-like illness: data from a web-based syndromic surveillance system in the Netherlands
Scott A. McDonald, Cees C. van den Wijngaard, Cornelia C. H. Wielders, Ingrid H. M. Friesema, Loes Soetens, Daniela Paolotti, Susan van den Hof, Albert Jan van Hoek
Epidemiology & Infection149, e129, 1-7 (2021)
The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China
Juanjuan Zhang, Maria Litvinova, Yuxia Liang, Wen Zheng, Huilin Shi, Alessandro Vespignani, Cécile Viboud, Marco Ajelli, Hongjie Yu
Science Advances7, 19, eabe2584 (2021)
Effect of manual and digital contact tracing on COVID-19 outbreaks: a study on empirical contact data
Alain Barrat, Ciro Cattuto, Mikko Kivelä, Sune Lehmann, Jari Saramäki
Journal of the Royal Society Interface18, 20201000 (2021)
Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile
Nicolò Gozzi, Michele Tizzoni, Matteo Chinazzi, Leonardo Adrian Ferres, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra
Nature Communications12, 2429 (2021)
The Framing of COVID-19 in Italian Media and Its Relationship with Community Mobility: A Mixed-Method Approach
Yotam Ophir, Dror Walter, Daniel Arnon, Ayse Lokmanoglu, Michele Tizzoni, Joëlle Carota, Lorenzo D'Antiga, Emanuele Nicastro
Journal of Health Communication26, 3, 161-173 (2021)
Data-driven estimate of SARS-CoV-2 herd immunity threshold in populations with individual contact pattern variations
Dan Lu, Alberto Aleta, Marco Ajelli, Romualdo Pastor-Satorras, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno
Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China
Shixiong Hu, Yan Wang, Maria Litvinova, Kaiwei Luo, Lingshuang Ren, Qianlai Sun, Xinghui Chen, Ge Zeng, Jing Li, Lu Liang, Zhihong Deng, Wen Zheng, Mei Li, Hao Yang, Jinxin Guo, Kai Wang, Xinhua Chen, Ziyan Liu, Han Yan, Huilin Shi, Zhiyuan Chen, Yonghong Zhou, Kaiyuan Sun, Alessandro Vespignani, Cécile Viboud, Lidong Gao, Marco Ajelli, Hongjie Yu
Nature Communications12, 1533 (2021)
Seeding COVID-19 across Sub-Saharan Africa: An Analysis of Reported Importation Events across 49 Countries
Laura A. Skrip, Prashanth Selvaraj, Brittany Hagedorn, Andre Lin Ouédraogo, Navideh Noori, Amanda Orcutt, Dina Mistry, Jamie Bedson, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Samuel V. Scarpino, Benjamin M. Althouse
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene104, 5, 1694–1702 (2021)
Time to evaluate COVID-19 contact-tracing apps
Vittoria Colizza, Eva Grill, Rafael Mikolajczyk, Ciro Cattuto, Adam Kucharski, Steven Riley, Michelle Kendall, Katrina Lythgoe, David Bonsall, Chris Wymant, Lucie Abeler-Dörner, Luca Ferretti, Christophe Fraser
Nature Medicine27, 361–362 (2021)
Give more data, awareness and control to individual citizens, and they will help COVID-19 containment
Mirco Nanni, Gennady Andrienko, Albert-László Barabási, Chiara Boldrini, Francesco Bonchi, Ciro Cattuto, Francesca Chiaromonte, Giovanni Comandé, Marco Conti, Mark Coté, Frank Dignum, Virginia Dignum, Josep Domingo-Ferrer, Paolo Ferragina, Fosca Giannotti, Riccardo Guidotti, Dirk Helbing, Kimmo Kaski, Janos Kertesz, Sune Lehmann, Bruno Lepri, Paul Lukowicz, Stan Matwin, David Megías Jiménez, Anna Monreale, Katharina Morik, Nuria Oliver, Andrea Passarella, Andrea Passerini, Dino Pedreschi, Alex Pentland, Fabio Pianesi, Francesca Pratesi, Salvatore Rinzivillo, Salvatore Ruggieri, Arno Siebes, Vicenc Torra, Roberto Trasarti, Jeroen van den Hoven, Alessandro Vespignani
Ethics and Information Technology23, 1-6 (2021)
Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2
Kaiyuan Sun, Wei Huang, Lidong Gao, Yan Wang, Kaiwei Luo, Lingshuang Ren, Zhifei Zhan, Xinghui Chen, Shanlu Zhao, Yiwei Huang, Qianlai Sun, Ziyan Liu, Maria Litvinova, Alessandro Vespignani, Marco Ajelli, Cécile Viboud, Hongjie Yu
Science371, 6526, (2021)
Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling
Dina Mistry, Maria Litvinova, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Matteo Chinazzi, Laura Fumanelli, Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Syed A. Haque, Quan-Hui Liu, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Stefano Merler, Marco Ajelli, Alessandro Vespignani
Nature Communications12, 323 (2021)
Patterns of Routes of Administration and Drug Tampering for Nonmedical Opioid Consumption: Data Mining and Content Analysis of Reddit Discussions
Duilio Balsamo, Paolo Bajardi, Alberto Salomone, Rossano Schifanella
Journal of Medical Internet Research23(1), e21212 (2021)
The COVID-19 outbreak in Sichuan, China: Epidemiology and impact of interventions
Quan-Hui Liu, Ana I. Bento, Kexin Yang, Hang Zhang, Xiaohan Yang, Stefano Merler, Alessandro Vespignani, Jiancheng Lv, Hongjie Yu, Wei Zhang, Tao Zhou, Marco Ajelli
PLoS Computational Biology16(12), e1008467 (2020)
Risk of Secondary Infection Waves of COVID-19 in an Insular Region: The Case of the Balearic Islands, Spain
Victor M. Eguíluz, Juan Fernández-Gracia, Jorge P. Rodríguez, Juan M. Pericàs, Carlos Melián
Frontiers in Medicine7, 563455 (2020)
Trends and Characteristics of Emergency Medical Services in Italy: A 5-Years Population-Based Registry Analysis
Sara Campagna, Alessio Conti, Valerio Dimonte, Marco Dalmasso, Michele Starnini, Maria Michela Gianino, Alberto Borracino
Healthcare8(4), 551 (2020)
Here, the huge rainbow within the COVID-19 storm
Mario Rasetti, Ilaria Capua
EClinicalMedicine29–30, 100654 (2020)
Superspreading events in the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2: Opportunities for interventions and control
Benjamin M. Althouse, Edward A. Wenger, Joel C. Miller, Samuel V. Scarpino, Antoine Allard, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Hao Hu
PLoS Biology18(11), e3000897 (2020)
Beyond R0: Heterogeneity in secondary infections and probabilistic epidemic forecasting
Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Benjamin M. Althouse, Samuel V. Scarpino, Antoine Allard
Journal of the Royal Society Interface17(172), (2020)
Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19
Matthew Biggerstaff, Benjamin J. Cowling, Zulma M. Cucunubá, Linh Dinh, Neil M. Ferguson, Huizhi Gao, Verity Hill, Natsuko Imai, Michael A. Johansson, Sarah Kada, Oliver Morgan, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Jonathan A. Polonsky, Pragati Venkata Prasad, Talia M. Quandelacy, Andrew Rambaut, Jordan W. Tappero, Katelijn A. Vandemaele, Alessandro Vespignani, K. Lane Warmbrod, Jessica Y. Wong
Emerging Infectious Diseases26(11), e201074 (2020)
Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed-Methods Analysis
Nicolò Gozzi, Michele Tizzani, Michele Starnini, Fabio Ciulla, Daniela Paolotti, André Panisson, Nicola Perra
Journal of Medical Internet Research22(10), e21597 (2020)
Impact of Online Health Awareness Campaign: Case of National Eating Disorders Association
Yelena Mejova, Víctor Suarez-Lledó
Proceeding SocInfo 2020: Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series12467, 192-205 (2020)
Crowding and the shape of COVID-19 epidemics
Benjamin Rader, Samuel V. Scarpino, Anjalika Nande, Alison L. Hill, Ben Adlam, Robert C. Reiner, David M. Pigott, Bernardo Gutierrez, Alexander E. Zarebski, Munik Shrestha, John S. Brownstein, Marcia C. Castro, Christopher Dye, Huaiyu Tian, Oliver G. Pybus, Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Nature Medicine26, 1829–1834 (2020)
Assessing the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil: Mobility, morbidity and social vulnerability
Flávio C. Coelho, Raquel M. Lana, Oswaldo G. Cruz, Daniel A. M. Villela, Leonardo S. Bastos, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Jessica T. Davis, Alessandro Vespignani, Cláudia T. Codeço, Marcelo F. C. Gomes
PLoS ONE15(9), e0238214 (2020)
A computational framework for modeling and studying pertussis epidemiology and vaccination
Paolo Castagno, Simone Pernice, Gianni Ghetti, Massimiliano Povero, Lorenzo Prandelli, Daniela Paolotti, Gianfranco Balbo, Matteo Sereno, Marco Beccuti
BMC Bioinformatics21(8), 344 (2020)
Flocking-enhanced social contagion
Demian Levis, Albert Dìaz-Guilera, Ignacio Pagonabarraga, Michele Starnini
Physical Review Research2(3), (2020)
Real-Time Forecasting of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Chinese Provinces: Machine Learning Approach Using Novel Digital Data and Estimates From Mechanistic Models
Dianbo Liu, Leonardo Clemente, Canelle Poirier, Xiyu Ding, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Alessandro Vespignani, Mauricio Santillana
Journal of medical Internet research22(8), e20285 (2020)
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19
Alberto Aleta, David Martín-Corral, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Stefano Merler, Alex Pentland, Alessandro Vespignani, Esteban Moro, Yamir Moreno
Nature Human Behaviour4, 964–971 (2020)
Relevance of temporal cores for epidemic spread in temporal networks
Martino Ciaperoni, Edoardo Galimberti, Francesco Bonchi, Ciro Cattuto, Francesco Gullo, Alain Barrat
Scientific Reports10, 12529 (2020)
Socioeconomic bias in influenza surveillance
Samuel V. Scarpino, James G. Scott, Rosalind M. Eggo, Bruce Clements, Nedialko B. Dimitrov, Lauren Ancel Meyers
PLOS Computational Biology16(7), e1007941 (2020)
COVID-19 outbreak response, a dataset to assess mobility changes in Italy following national lockdown
Emanuele Pepe, Paolo Bajardi, Laetitia Gauvin, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Ciro Cattuto, Michele Tizzoni
Scientific Data7, 230 (2020)
A data-driven assessment of early travel restrictions related to the spreading of the novel COVID-19 within mainland China
Alberto Aleta, Qitong Hu, Jiachen Ye, Peng Ji, Yamir Moreno
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals139, (2020)
Sentiment and Moral Narratives during COVID-19
Oscar Araque, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Lorenzo Gatti
ACL 2020 Workshop NLP-COVID (2020)
Grippenet: A New Tool for the Monitoring, Risk-Factor and Vaccination Coverage Analysis of Influenza-Like Illness in Switzerland
Aude Richard, Laura Müller, Ania Wisniak, Amaury Thiabaud, Thibaut Merle, Damien Dietrich, Daniela Paolotti, Emilien Jeannot, Antoine Flahault
Vaccines8(3), 343 (2020)
COVID-19 on Facebook Ads: Competing Agendas around a Public Health Crisis
COMPASS '20: Proceedings of the 3rd ACM SIGCAS Conference on Computing and Sustainable Societies 22-31 (2020)
The Institutionalisation of Digital Public Health: Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 App
Ciro Cattuto, Alessandro Spina
European Journal of Risk Regulation11, 2, 228-235 (2020)
Evaluation of the potential incidence of COVID-19 and effectiveness of containment measures in Spain: a data-driven approach
Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
BMC medicine18 , 157 (2020)
Spatial heterogeneity and socioeconomic determinants of opioid prescribing in England between 2015 and 2018
Rossano Schifanella, Dario Delle Vedove, Alberto Salomone, Paolo Bajardi, Daniela Paolotti
BMC Medicine18, 127 (2020)
Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal flu
Nicolò Gozzi, Daniela Perrotta, Daniela Paolotti, Nicola Perra
PLoS Computational Biology16(5), e1007879 (2020)
Reshaping a nation: Mobility, commuting, and contact patterns during the COVID-19 outbreak
Brennan Klein, Timothy LaRock, Stefan McCabe, Leo Torres, Lisa Friedland, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, John S. Brownstein, David Lazer, Tina Eliassi-Rad, Samuel V. Scarpino, Alessandro Vespignani, Matteo Chinazzi
Northeastern University (2020)
Modelling COVID-19
Alessandro Vespignani, Huaiyu Tian, Christopher Dye, James O. Lloyd- Smith, Rosalind M. Eggo, Munik Shrestha, Samuel V. Scarpino, Bernardo Gutierrez, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Joseph Wu, Kathy Leung, Gabriel M. Leung
Nature Review Physics2, 279-281 (2020)
Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study
Juanjuan Zhang, Maria Litvinova, Wei Wang, Yan Wang, Xiaowei Deng, Xinghui Chen, Mei Li, Wen Zheng, Lan Yi, Xinhua Chen, Qianhui Wu, Yuxia Liang, Xiling Wang, Juan Yang, Kaiyuan Sun, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Peng Wu, Benjamin J. Cowling, Stefano Merler, Marco Ajelli, Hongjie Yu
The Lancet Infectious Diseases20(7), 793-802 (2020)
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
Juanjuan Zhang, Maria Litvinova, Yuxia Liang, Yan Wang, Wei Wang, Shanlu Zhao, Qianhui Wu, Stefano Merler, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, Marco Ajelli, Hongjie Yu
Science368(6498), 1481-1486 (2020)
Mobile phone data for informing public health actions across the COVID-19 pandemic life cycle
Nuria Oliver, Bruno Lepri, Harald Sterly, Renaud Lambiotte, Sébastien Delataille, Marco De Nadai, Emmanuel Letouzé, Albert Ali Salah, Richard Benjamins, Ciro Cattuto, Vittoria Colizza, Nicolas De Cordes, Samuel P. Fraiberger, Till Koebe, Sune Lehmann, Juan Murillo, Alex Pentland, Phuong N Pham, Frédéric Pivetta, Jari Saramäki, Samuel V. Scarpino, Michele Tizzoni, Stefaan G. Verhulst, Patrick Vinck
Science Advances6, 23, (2020)
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Marco Ajelli, Corrado Gioannini, Maria Litvinova, Stefano Merler, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Kunpeng Mu, Luca Rossi, Kaiyuan Sun, Cécile Viboud, Xinyue Xiong, Hongjie Yu, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Alessandro Vespignani
Science368(6489), 395-400 (2020)
Assessing changes in commuting and individual mobility in major metropolitan areas in the United States during the COVID-19 outbreak
Brennan Klein, Timothy LaRock, Stefan McCabe, Leo Torres, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, John S. Brownstein, David Lazer, Tina Eliassi-Rad, Samuel V. Scarpino, Matteo Chinazzi, Alessandro Vespignani
The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China
Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Chia-Hung Yang, Bernardo Gutierrez, Chieh-Hsi Wu, Brennan Klein, David M. Pigott, , Louis Du Plessis, Nuno R. Faria, Ruoran Li, William P. Hanage, John S. Brownstein, Maylis Layan, Alessandro Vespignani, Huaiyu Tian, Christopher Dye, Oliver G. Pybus, Samuel V. Scarpino
Science38, 6490, 493-497 (2020)
The impact of news exposure on collective attention in the United States during the 2016 Zika epidemic
Michele Tizzoni, André Panisson, Daniela Paolotti, Ciro Cattuto
PloS Computational Biology16(3), e1007633 (2020)
Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems
Tobias Brett, Marco Ajelli, Quan-Hui Liu, Mary G. Krauland, John J. Grefenstette, Willem G. Van Panhuis, Alessandro Vespignani, John M. Drake, Pejman Rohani
Plos Computational Biology16(3), e1007679 (2020)
Tesco Grocery 1.0, a large-scale dataset of grocery purchases in London
Luca Maria Aiello, Daniele Quercia, Rossano Schifanella, Lucia Del Prete
Scientific Data7, 57 (2020)
Preliminary assessment of the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2019 novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak in Wuhan City
Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Corrado Gioannini, Maria Litvinova, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Luca Rossi, Xinyue Xiong, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Alessandro Vespignani
Asymptomatic Infection and Transmission of Pertussis in Households: A Systematic Review
Rodger Craig, Elizabeth Kunkel, Natasha S. Crowcroft, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, Hester De Melker, Benjamin M. Althouse, Tod Merkel, Samuel V. Scarpino, Katia Koelle, Lindsay Friedman, Callum Arnold, Shelly Bolotin
Clinical Infectious Diseases70, 1, 152–161 (2020)
Spatio-temporal Analysis of Flu-related Drugs Uptake in an Online Cohort in England
Daniela Perrotta, Dario Delle Vedove, Chinelo Obi, Richard Pebody, Rossano Schifanella, Daniela Paolotti
DPH2019: Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Digital Public Health 111-118 (2019)
Digital Health Innovation: From Proof of Concept to Public Value
Daniela Paolotti, Umair Shah, Michael Edelstein, Onicio Leal Neto, Patricie Kostkova, Caroline Wood
DPH2019: Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Digital Public Health 5 (2019)
Participatory Disease Surveillance Systems: Ethical Framework
Daniela Paolotti, Caroline Guerrisi, Charlotte Kjelsø, Paul Lukowicz, Marco Hirsch, Antoine Flahault, Olivia Woolley-Meza, L. D. Geneviève, A. Martani, T. Wangmo, B. S. Elger, C. Koppeschaar
Journal of Medical Internet Research21, 5 e12273, (2019)
Wearable Proximity Sensors for Monitoring a Mass Casualty Incident Exercise: Feasibility Study
Anna Sapienza, Laura Ozella, André Panisson, Marco Quaggiotto, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Ciro Cattuto, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin, Luca Carenzo, Pier Luigi Ingrassia, Davide Colombo, Francesco Della Corte
Journal of Medical Internet Research21, 4 e12251, (2019)
Unsupervised extraction of epidemic syndromes from participatory influenza surveillance self-reported symptoms
Yamir Moreno, Daniela Paolotti, Matteo Delfino, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Ciro Cattuto, John Edmunds, Richard Peabody, Caroline Guerrisi, Ricardo Mexia, Jim Duggan, Charlotte Kjelsø, Chinelo Obi, C. Koppeschaar, Vittoria Colizza, Daniela Perrotta, Ana Franco, Sandro Meloni, Clément Turbelin
PLOS Computational Biology15(4): e1006173, (2019)
The future of influenza forecasts
Alessandro Vespignani, Cécile Viboud
PNAS Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences116 (8), 2802-2804 (2019)
Global flu view: a platform to connect crowdsourced disease surveillance around the world
Daniela Paolotti, Marc S Smolinski, A. W. Crawley, F. Dalton, John S. Brownstein
International Journal of Infectious Diseases79, 7 (2019)
Charting the Next Pandemic: Modeling Infectious Disease Spreading in the Data Science Age
Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani, Corrado Gioannini, Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Bruno Gonçalves
Springer Cham XVI, 209 (2018)
Fake Cures: User-centric Modeling of Health Misinformation in Social Media
Yelena Mejova, A. Ghenai
Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction - CSCW2 / CSCW, 20 (2018)
Quantifying the risk of local Zika virus transmission in the contiguous US during the 2015–2016 ZIKV epidemic
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Piero Poletti, Diana Patricia Rojas, Dina Mistry, Stefano Merler, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Qian Zhang
BMC Medicine16 / 195, (2018)
Quantifying the risk of local Zika virus transmission in the continental US during the 2015-2016 ZIKV epidemic
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Piero Poletti, Diana Patricia Rojas, Dina Mistry, Stefano Merler, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Qian Zhang
BMC Medicine16:195, (2018)
grippeNET App: Enhancing Participatory Influenza Monitoring Through Mobile Phone Sensors
Marco Hirsch, Olivia Woolley-Meza, Daniela Paolotti, Antoine Flahault, Paul Lukowicz
UbiComp '18: Proceedings of the 2018 ACM International Joint Conference and 2018 International Symposium on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing and Wearable Computers 833–841 (2018)
A Topological Data Analysis Approach to Influenza-Like-Illness
Daniela Paolotti, Ricardo Mexia, J.P Costa, P. Skraba
Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Workshop on Epidemiology meets Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery (epiDAMIK) (2018)
Close encounters between infants and household members measured through wearable proximity sensors
Laura Ozella, Ciro Cattuto, Michele Tizzoni, I. Campagna, Caterina Rizzo, Francesco Gesualdo, Elisabetta Pandolfi, Alberto Eugenio Tozzi
Plos One13(6):e0198733, (2018)
Self-Swabbing for Virological Confirmation of Influenza-Like Illness Among an Internet-Based Cohort in the UK During the 2014-2015 Flu Season: Pilot Study
Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, Richard Pebody, CE Keane, M Donati, E Fragaszy, RA McKendry, C Wenham, ER Gray
J Med Internet Res20,3, (2018)
The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation
Alessandro Vespignani, Gerardo Chowell, Lone Simonsen, Cécile Viboud, Laura Fumanelli, Stefano Merler, Kaiyuan Sun, Qian Zhang
Epidemics22, 13-21 (2018)
Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaks
Alessandro Vespignani, Emanuele Massaro, Nicola Perra, Alexander Ganin
Scientific Reports8 / 1859, (2018)
Combining Participatory Influenza Surveillance with Modeling and Forecasting: Three Alternative Approaches
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Madhav V Marathe, Andre T Nguyen, Mauricio Santillana, Samarth Swarup, Anil Kumar Vullikanti, Mandi L Wilson, Shuyu Chu, Achla Marathe, Daniela Perrotta, Qian Zhang, Nicola Perra, John S. Brownstein
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance3, No 4 Oct-Dec, (2017)
The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation
Marco Ajelli, Qian Zhang, Kaiyuan Sun, Stefano Merler, Laura Fumanelli, Gerardo Chowell, Lone Simonsen, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani
Epidemics22(3-12), (2017)
Influenzanet: Citizens Among 10 Countries Collaborating to Monitor Influenza in Europe
Yamir Moreno, Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, Jim Duggan, Charlotte Kjelsø, Caroline Guerrisi, Ricardo Mexia, Edward van Straten, Vittoria Colizza, Daniela Perrotta, Carl Koppeschaar, Ana O Franco, Sandro Meloni, Clément Turbelin
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance3(3):e66, (2017)
Forecasting Seasonal Influenza Fusing Digital Indicators and a Mechanistic Disease Model
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Daniela Perrotta, Qian Zhang, Nicola Perra
Proceeding of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web (WWW) 311 (2017)
Using Participatory Web-based Surveillance Data to Improve Seasonal Influenza Forecasting in Italy
Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Daniela Perrotta
Proceeding of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web (WWW) 303 (2017)
Spread of Zika virus in the Americas
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Piero Poletti, Diana Patricia Rojasc, Dina Mistry, Stefano Merler, Margaret Braya, Kaiyuan Sun, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Qian Zhang
PNAS114 ,22, (2017)
Participatory Online Surveillance as a Supplementary Tool to Sentinel Doctors for Influenza-Like Illness Surveillance in Italy
Daniela Paolotti, Antonino Bella, Daniela Perrotta, Caterina Rizzo
PLOS|One (2017)
Participatory Syndromic Surveillance of Influenza in Europe
Yamir Moreno, Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, Richard Pebody, Caroline Guerrisi, Ricardo Mexia, Edward van Straten, Jim Duggan, Charlotte Kjelsø, Vittoria Colizza, Daniela Perrotta, Carl Koppeschaar, Ronald Smallenburg, Ana O Franco, Ruggero Vasile, Sandro Meloni, Clément Turbelin, Thierry Blanchon, Isabelle Bonmarin, Thomas Hanslik, Daniel Levy-Bruhl
J Infect Dis.214 (supp 4): S386-S392, S386-S392 (2016)
Containing Ebola at the Source with Ring Vaccination
Alessandro Vespignani, Stefano Parlamento, Giovanni Putoto, Dante Carraro, Laura Fumanelli, Stefano Merler, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
PLoS Negl Trop Dis10(11), (2016)
Spatiotemporal dynamics of the Ebola epidemic in Guinea and implications for vaccination and disease elimination: a computational modeling analysis
Alessandro Vespignani, Natalie E. Dean, Laura Fumanelli, Stefano Merler, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
BMC Medicine201614:130, (2016)
Real-Time Assessment of the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Dennis Chao, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Qian Zhang
Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases 39-56 (2016)
Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Bruno Gonçalves, Wouter Van den Broeck, Nicola Perra, Duygu Balcan, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
BMC Medicine7:45, (2009)
Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Bruno Gonçalves, Wouter Van den Broeck, Nicola Perra, Duygu Balcan, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
Public Library of Science Currents: Influenza.RRN1129, (2009)
Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the eff ectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Laura Fumanelli, Stefano Merler, Dennis Chao, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo F. C. Gomes
Lancet Infect Dis15,2, 204-2011 (2015)
Social Data Mining and Seasonal Influenza Forecasts: The FluOutlook Platform
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Marco Quaggiotto, Corrado Gioannini, Michele Tizzoni, Daniela Perrotta, Qian Zhang, Nicola Perra
Lecture Notes in Computer Science9286, 237-240 (2015)
Supporting Epidemic Intelligence, Personalised and Public Health with advanced computational methods
Daniela Paolotti, Joao Pita Costa, Flavio Fuart, Primož Škraba, Evgenia Belayeva, Inna Novalija
Conference Paper : EM-Health Workshop-Zdravje Ljubljana (2015)
The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation Networks
Michele Tizzoni, Kaiyuan Sun, Diego Benusiglio, Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra
Scientific Reports5/15111, (2015)
Ten-year performance of Influenzanet: ILI time series, risks, and vaccine effects in the Grote Griepmeting, Gripenet, and Influweb cohorts
Daniela Paolotti, Cláudia T. Codeço, Marc Van Ranst, Carl Koppeschaar, S. Van Noort, G. Gomes
Epidemics (2015)
Mitigation of infectious disease at school: targeted class closure vs school closure
Ciro Cattuto, Alain Barrat, Valerio Gemmetto
BMC Infectious Diseases14, 695 (2014)
Characterising two-pathogen competition in spatially structured environments
Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Ashleigh Van Metre, Sandro Meloni
Scientific Reports 5 7895 (2015)
Combining High-Resolution Contact Data with Virological Data to Investigate Influenza Transmission in a Tertiary Care Hospital
Ciro Cattuto, Alain Barrat, Jean-Sébastien Casalegno, Cécile Payet, Brigitte Comte, B. Kim, Philippe Vanhems, Corinne Régis, Nagham Khanafer, N. Voirin, B. Lina
Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology 1-7 (2015)
Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Livio Bioglio, Dennis Chao, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo F. C. Gomes
Eurosurveillance19, 42 (2014)
Ebola: mobility data
Alessandro Vespignani, Samuel V. Scarpino, JM Hyman, S Eubank, MC Eisenberg, D Gao, N Bharti, LR Feldstein, KA Alexander, M Ferrari, J Shaman, John M. Drake, T Porco, JN Eisenberg, SY Del Valle, E Lofgren, M. Elizabeth Halloran
Science346(6208), 433 (2014)
Assessing the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Dennis Chao, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo F. C. Gomes
PLOS Currents Outbreaks (2014)
Internet-Based Epidemiology
Daniela Paolotti, Costanza Pizzi, Lorenzo Richiardi
Handbook of Epidemiology 439-469 (2014)
The representativeness of a European multi-center network for influenza-like-illness participatory surveillance
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Pietro Cantarelli, Alessandra Micheletti, Vitor Faustino, AnnaSara Carnahan, Carl Koppeschaar, Moa Rehn, Ronald Smallenburg, Ana O Franco, Marion Debin, Clément Turbelin, Thierry Blanchon, Isabelle Bonmarin, Alessandra Falchi, Thomas Hanslik, Daniel Levy-Bruhl, K.T.D. Eames
BMC Public Health14, 984 (2014)
The infection tree of global epidemics
Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes, Nicole Samay, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani, Luciano da Fontoura Costa
Network Science2,1, 132 - 137 (2014)
Determinants of Follow-Up Participation in the Internet-Based European Influenza Surveillance Platform Influenzanet
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, Paolo Bajardi, Vittoria Colizza, Sebastian Funk, Ana Franco, Vitor Faustino, AnnaSara Carnahan, Carl Koppeschaar, Moa Rehn, Ronald Smallenburg, Marion Debin, Clément Turbelin, K.T.D. Eames
J Med Internet Res16, 3, (2014)
Assessing the ecotoxicologic hazards of a pandemic influenza medical response
Alessandro Vespignani, Vittoria Colizza, Johanna Andrews, Duygu Balcan, A.C. Singer, Heike Schmitt, Wei Huang, Virginie D.J. Keller, Richard Williams
Environ Health Perspectives119(8), 1084–1090 (2011)
Web-based participatory surveillance of infectious diseases: the Influenzanet participatory surveillance experience
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, Vittoria Colizza, AnnaSara Carnahan, Carl Koppeschaar, Moa Rehn, Ronald Smallenburg, S. Van Noort, G. Gomes, Clément Turbelin, K.T.D. Eames
Clinical Microbiology and Infection20, 17-21 (2014)
Human mobility and the worldwide impact of intentional localized highly pathogenic virus release
Alessandro Vespignani, Bruno Gonçalves, Duygu Balcan
Scientific Reports 3810, (2013)
Containing the accidental laboratory escape of potential pandemic influenza viruses
Alessandro Vespignani, Laura Fumanelli, Stefano Merler
BMC Medicine11(1), 252 (2013)
Host mobility drives pathogen competition in spatially structured populations
Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Sandro Meloni
PLoS Comput Biol9(8): e1003169, (2013)
Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemic
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Bruno Gonçalves, Wouter Van den Broeck, Nicola Perra, A.J. Valleron, C. Chouaid, Duygu Balcan, A.C. Singer, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
PLoS Current Influenza1133, (2009)
Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Bruno Gonçalves, Wouter Van den Broeck, Nicola Perra, Duygu Balcan, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
Emerging Health Threats Journal2:e11, (2009)
Multiscale mobility networks and the large scale spreading of infectious diseases
Alessandro Vespignani, Vittoria Colizza, Bruno Gonçalves, Duygu Balcan, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
PNAS106,51, 21484-21489 (2009)
Internet-based surveillance of Influenza-like-illness in the UK during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic
Daniela Paolotti, John Edmunds, N.L. Tilston, K.T.D. Eames
BMC Public Health10:650, (2010)
Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models
Alessandro Vespignani, Vittoria Colizza, Stefano Merler, Bruno Gonçalves, Duygu Balcan, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
BMC Infectious Diseases10:190, (2010)
Internet-based monitoring system for infuenza-like illness: H1N1 surveillance in Italy
Alessandro Vespignani, Daniela Paolotti, Corrado Gioannini, Vittoria Colizza
Proceedings of eHealth 2010 Casablanca 13-15 December 2010 (2010)
Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility computational model
Alessandro Vespignani, Vittoria Colizza, Bruno Gonçalves, Duygu Balcan, H. Hu, José J. Ramasco
Journal of Computational Science1, 3, 132–145 (2010)
On the usefulness of ontologies in epidemiology research and practice
Daniela Paolotti, João.D. Ferreira, Francisco M. Couto, Mário J. Silva
The Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health10.1136/jech, 2012-201142 (2012)
Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
Alessandro Vespignani, Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Bruno Gonçalves, Nicola Perra, Duygu Balcan, José J. Ramasco
BMC Medicine10:165, (2012)
The GLEaMviz computational tool, a publicly available software to explore realistic epidemic spreading scenarios at the global scale
Alessandro Vespignani, Marco Quaggiotto, Corrado Gioannini, Vittoria Colizza, Bruno Gonçalves, Wouter Van den Broeck
BMC Infectious Diseases2011, 11:37, (2011)
Rapid assessment of influenza vaccine effectiveness: analysis of an internet-based cohort
Daniela Paolotti, Corrado Gioannini, John Edmunds, M. Perosa, K.T.D. Eames, E. Brooks-Pollock
Epidemiology and Infection, Available on CJO140(7), 1309-15 (2012)
Towards a Characterization of Behavior-Disease Models
Alessandro Vespignani, Bruno Gonçalves, Nicola Perra, Duygu Balcan
PLoS ONE6(8): e23084, (2011)
Digital Epidemiology
Alessandro Vespignani, Ciro Cattuto, Marcel Salathé, Devon D. Brewer, John S. Brownstein, Ellsworth Campbell, Shashank Khandelwal, Patricia Mabry, Todd J. Bodnar, Caroline Buckee, Linus Bengtsson
PLoS Computational Biology8(7), e1002616 (2012)
A statistical modelling approach for determining the cause of reported respiratory syndromes from internet-based participatory surveillance when influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 are co-circulating
Scott A. McDonald, Albert Jan van Hoek, Daniela Paolotti, Mariette Hooiveld, Adam Meijer, Marit de Lange, , Arianne van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Jacco Wallinga
PLOS Digital Health3(12), e0000655 (2024)
Real-time estimates of the emergence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: A modeling approach
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra
Epidemics 100805 (2024)
Modeling the interplay between disease spread, behaviors, and disease perception with a data-driven approach
Alessandro De Gaetano, Alain Barrat, Daniela Paolotti
Mathematical Biosciences378, 109337 (2024)
