People
Alessandro Vespignani
President - SAB ChairNortheastern University
President - SAB ChairNortheastern University
Fields Of StudyDevelop analytical and computational models for the co-evolution and interdependence of large-scale social, technological and biological networks. Modeling contagion processes in structured populations. Developing predictive computational tools for the analysis of the spatial spread of emerging diseases. Analyze the dynamics and evolution of information and social networks. Model the adaptive behavior of social systems.
Website
Alessandro Vespignani research activity is focused on the study of “techno-social” systems, where infrastructures composed of different technological layers are interoperating within the social component that drives their use and development. In this context we aim at understanding how the very same elements assembled in large number can give rise – according to the various forces and elements at play – to different macroscopic and dynamical behaviors, opening the path to quantitative computational approaches and forecasting power.
Publications
Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling study
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
Nature Communications14, 3272 (2023)
Quantifying the importance and location of SARS-CoV-2 transmission events in large metropolitan areas
Alberto Aleta, David Martín-Corral, Michiel A. Bakker, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Alex Pentland, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Esteban Moro
PNAS119 (26) e2112182119, (2022)
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
Alessandro Vespignani,
PNAS119 (15) e2113561119, (2022)
Comparing Sources of Mobility for Modelling the Epidemic Spread of Zika Virus in Colombia
Daniela Perrotta, Enrique Frias-Martinez, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Qian Zhang, Miguel Luengo-Oroz, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Alessandro Vespignani
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases16(7): e0010565, (2022)
Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2
Alessandro Vespignani, L. Gao, K. Luo, L. Ren, Z. Zhan, Y. Huang, Q. Sun, Z. Liu, Shanlu Zhao, Marco Ajelli, W Wang, X Chen, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Hongjie Yu, Kaiyuan Sun, Ya Wang
Science371, 254, (2021)
The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China
Alessandro Vespignani, W Zheng, H Shi, Marco Ajelli, J Zhang, Y Liang, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Hongjie Yu
Science Advances7, 19, eabe2584, (2021)
Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling
Alessandro Vespignani, S. A. Haque, , K. Mu, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Q.H. Liu, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, Dina Mistry, Laura Fumanelli, Stefano Merler, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo F. C Gomes
Nature Communications12, 323, (2021)
Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China
Alessandro Vespignani, S Hu, G Zeng, J Li, L Liang, Z Deng, M Li, H Yang, J Guo, K Wang, Z Chen, Y Zhou, X Chen, H Yan, W Zheng, H Shi, L. Gao, K. Luo, L. Ren, Q. Sun, Z. Liu, W Wang, X Chen, Marco Ajelli, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Hongjie Yu, Kaiyuan Sun, Ya Wang
Nature Communications12, 1533, (2021)
Give more data, awareness and control to individual citizens, and they will help COVID-19 containment
Alessandro Vespignani, Francesco Bonchi, J van den Hoven, V. Dignum, J. Domingo-Ferrer, P. Ferragina, F. Giannotti, R. Guidotti, S. Matwin, D. MegíasJiménez, A. Monreale, A. Passarella, A. Passerini, F. Pratesi, S. Rinzivillo, S. Ruggieri, G. Comandé, A. Siebes, M. Conti, V. Torra, M. Coté, R. Trasarti, M. Nanni, M. Nanni, G. Andrienko, C. Boldrini, F. Chiaromonte, Katharina Morik, Nuria Oliver, Sune Lehmann, Alex Pentland, Ciro Cattuto, P. Lukowicz, Bruno Lepri, Dino Pedreschi, F Pianesi, Albert-László Barabási, J. Kertesz, D. Helbing, Kimmo Kaski
Ethics and Information Technology (2021)
Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile
Nicolò Gozzi, Michele Tizzoni, Matteo Chinazzi, Leonardo Adrian Ferres, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra
Nature Communications12: 2429, (2021)
Data-driven estimate of SARS-CoV-2 herd immunity threshold in populations with individual contact pattern variations
Dan Lu, Alberto Aleta, Marco Ajelli, Romualdo Pastor-Satorras, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno
Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, J. T. Davis, K. Mu, Corrado Gioannini, Marco Ajelli, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, Stefano Merler, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Nicola Perra
Nature (2021)
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, K. Mu, Marco Ajelli, Corrado Gioannini, Stefano Merler, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, J. Davis, Hongjie Yu, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
Science368, 6489, 395-400 (2020)
The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China
Alessandro Vespignani, M. Layan, H. Tian, M.U. Kraemer, C.H. Yang, B Gutierrez, C Wu, B Klein, D. M. Pigott, L. Du Plessis, N. R. Faria, R Li, W. P. Hanage, C. Dye, O. G. Pybus, Samuel Scarpino, John S Brownstein
Science38, 493-497 (2020)
The COVID-19 outbreak in Sichuan, China: Epidemiology and impact of interventions
Alessandro Vespignani, Ana I. Bento, Kexin Yang, Hang Zhang, Xiaohan Yang, Jiancheng Lv, Wei Zhang, Tao Zhou, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler, Q.H. Liu, Hongjie Yu
PLoS Computational Biology16 (12), e1008467 (2020)
Reshaping a nation: Mobility, commuting, and contact patterns during the COVID-19 outbreak
Alessandro Vespignani, L. Friedland, S. V. Scarpino, T. LaRock, S. McCabe, L. Torres, M. U. G. Kraemer, D. Lazer, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Tina Eliassi-Rad, B Klein, Matteo Chinazzi, John S Brownstein
Northeastern University - Network Science Institute (2020)
Real-Time Forecasting of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Chinese Provinces: Machine Learning Approach Using Novel Digital Data and Estimates From Mechanistic Models
Alessandro Vespignani, D. Liu, L. Clemente, C. Poirier, X. Ding, J. Davis, Mauricio Santillana, Matteo Chinazzi
Journal of medical Internet research22(8):e20285, (2020)
Preliminary assessment of the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2019 novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak in Wuhan City
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Corrado Gioannini, Maria Litvinova, J. Davis, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston (2020)
Phase transitions in information spreading on structured populations
Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, J. Davis, Qian Zhang, Nicola Perra
Nature Physics16 (5), 590–596 (2020)
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19
Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Esteban Moro, David Martín-Corral, Marco Ajelli, Alex Pentland, Stefano Merler, Alberto Aleta, Maria Litvinova, , Matteo Chinazzi, M. Elizabeth Halloran, , Ana Pastore Y Piontti
Nature Human Behaviour4, 964–971 (2020)
Modelling COVID-19
Alessandro Vespignani, G. M. Leung, M.U. Kraemer, B Gutierrez, H. Tian, R. M. Eggo, M. Shrestha, K. Leung, C. Dye, J. O. Lloyd- Smith, J Wu, Samuel Scarpino
Nature Review Physics (2020)
Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study
Alessandro Vespignani, Marco Ajelli, P Wu, B.J. Cowling, Y Liang, J Yang, J Zhang, W Wang, L Yi, X Chen, Q Wu, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Xu Wang, Hongjie Yu, Stefano Merler, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, , Ya Wang
The Lancet Infectious Diseases (2020)
Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19
Alessandro Vespignani, O. Morgan, J. A. Polonsky, P. Venkata Prasad, T. M. Quandelacy, A. Rambaut, J. W. Tappero, K. A. Vandemaele, K. L. Warmbrod, J. Y. Wong, H. Gao, V. Hill, N. Imai, M. A. Johansson, S. Kada, M. Biggerstaff, L. Dinh, N. M. Ferguson, M. Cucunubá, B. J. Cowling, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
Emerging Infectious Diseases26(11): e201074, (2020)
Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems
Alessandro Vespignani, Mary G. Krauland, John J. Grefenstette, Willem G. Van Panhuis, Pejman Rohani, Marco Ajelli, T. Brett, Q.H. Liu, JM Drake
Plos Computational Biology16 (3), e1007679, (2020)
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
Alessandro Vespignani, Shanlu Zhao, Marco Ajelli, J Zhang, W Wang, Q Wu, Y Liang, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Hongjie Yu, Stefano Merler, Ya Wang
Science368/6498, 1481-1486 (2020)
Assessing the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil: Mobility, morbidity and social vulnerability
Alessandro Vespignani, F. C. Coelho, R. M. Lana, O. G. Cruz, D. A. M. Villela, L. S. Bastos, J. T. Davis, C. T. Codeço, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marcelo F. C Gomes
PLoS ONE15(9): e0238214, (2020)
Assessing changes in commuting and individual mobility in major metropolitan areas in the United States during the COVID-19 outbreak
Alessandro Vespignani, S. V. Scarpino, M. U. G. Kraemer, D. Lazer, T. LaRock, S. McCabe, L. Torres, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Tina Eliassi-Rad, B Klein, Matteo Chinazzi, John S Brownstein
Northeastern University - Network Science Institute (2020)
Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling study
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
Nature Communications14, 3272 (2023)
Quantifying the importance and location of SARS-CoV-2 transmission events in large metropolitan areas
Alberto Aleta, David Martín-Corral, Michiel A. Bakker, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Alex Pentland, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Esteban Moro
PNAS119 (26) e2112182119, (2022)
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
Alessandro Vespignani,
PNAS119 (15) e2113561119, (2022)